Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.381562 0.491284 0.610136 0.746761 0.897952 1.058807 1.241614
2025-10-12 0.239481 0.387131 0.563760 0.782384 1.038870 1.324638 1.662027
2025-10-19 0.182774 0.350379 0.565031 0.842853 1.179422 1.563364 2.025084
2025-10-26 0.136788 0.314747 0.558634 0.887228 1.296222 1.771725 2.351807
2025-11-02 0.093259 0.269392 0.530199 0.896459 1.364471 1.918308 2.602780
2025-11-09 0.047962 0.203795 0.462819 0.846910 1.353754 1.966122 2.734191
2025-11-16 0.018105 0.146512 0.395949 0.789387 1.326334 1.988632 2.831257
2025-11-23 0.005669 0.113979 0.360657 0.770574 1.344914 2.064383 2.989296
2025-11-30 0.001325 0.097221 0.348702 0.783230 1.403426 2.188576 3.204956
2025-12-07 NaN 0.077115 0.325862 0.776807 1.434433 2.276958 3.376059
2025-12-14 NaN 0.055207 0.292913 0.751122 1.436703 2.327214 3.499106
2025-12-21 NaN 0.052553 0.301821 0.792034 1.531349 2.495666 3.768001
2025-12-28 NaN 0.051876 0.316768 0.845598 1.647824 2.697376 4.084792
2026-01-04 NaN 0.047983 0.323106 0.885256 1.745570 2.876224 4.375050
2026-01-11 NaN 0.049664 0.343969 0.949233 1.877772 3.099599 4.720520
2026-01-18 NaN 0.047889 0.355052 0.996567 1.986312 3.292427 5.028235
2026-01-25 NaN 0.039234 0.344683 1.006340 2.040530 3.414226 5.247139
2026-02-01 NaN 0.022344 0.300480 0.953656 2.002385 3.413774 5.311913
2026-02-08 NaN 0.009541 0.254636 0.892366 1.948213 3.389816 5.345174
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004420 0.232492 0.872294 1.953397 3.443223 5.474894
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002694 0.227885 0.885800 2.009071 3.564156 5.690449
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000835 0.213812 0.878946 2.032931 3.641809 5.850496
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.191004 0.851525 2.023715 3.673835 5.951508